Skip to content
Fire Maps by José DA COSTAFIRE MAPSby José DA COSTAFire Maps by José DA COSTA
Why Fire MapsWhat the map readsEncyclopediaBefore / after
🇺🇸
SimpleSimple mapAdvancedAdvanced map

Method · provenance · uncertainty

Every layer must finish the sentence: “this source proves…”.

The method favors a weaker but verifiable claim over a dramatic claim the source cannot support.

Public pages

About Fire Maps and José DA COSTAFire Maps methodology and evidence contractEditorial policy, sourcing and correctionsFire Maps visitor privacy and dataFire Maps public and editorial updates
Published
2026-07-29
Revised
2026-07-29
01

Three classes that are never silently merged

Measured or observed: a source recorded a value, position, pixel or geometry at a time. Modeled: a calculation applies equations and assumptions to inputs. Inferred: Fire Maps identifies a pattern across observations, such as an orbit or probable zone.

The interface preserves that class in legends, maps and API responses. An inference can direct attention, but it does not take the name of a measurement or official decision.

Observed

A sensor, register or service publishes data with its acquisition and coverage.

Modeled

The result depends on a model, resolution, valid time and published assumptions.

Inferred

An algorithm identifies a pattern and exposes the supporting clues and evidence level.

02

Acquisition, validity, retrieval and age

A single “updated” time is not enough. Where the source permits, Fire Maps separates when the phenomenon was observed, when a forecast applies, when the server retrieved it and the age shown to the reader.

Caches prevent overload of public and volunteer services. They do not change the source date: a retained response remains labeled with its real time, and a last good state served through an outage is marked stale.

03

Coverage and absence

Coverage is what the source and server actually provided, not what the product name suggests. ADS-B gaps, satellite cloud, administrative limits and upstream refusals are published when known.

“No result” is used only when the area was genuinely covered and the method supports that conclusion. Outside coverage, the state remains unknown.

04

Scenarios and models

Wind, air quality, smoke, danger and spread fields each have their own resolution. Sampling is capped at that resolution: drawing more cells does not create more information.

A spread projection is conditional on its start, wind, terrain, fuel and horizon. Variants or disagreements are preserved to show uncertainty instead of hidden inside a reassuring average.

05

Aircraft, identity and photographs

A Mode-S address is never guessed from a registration. Fleet entries are cross-checked against what the network actually associates with the address. Tracks show received positions; segments between them are graphic connections, not continuous measurement.

A cover photograph is either the exact aircraft or an explicitly representative type image. Only freely licensed images are stored; author, license and source page remain visible.

06

Revision and reproducibility

Editorial pages have a revision date. Aircraft sheets carry the collection time of their sources. Decisions that change a business rule or architecture are recorded as versioned decisions.

Tests verify routes, translations, discovery links, structured data and security contracts. A correction changes the visible source and relevant date; it does not silently rewrite the nature of the evidence.

Evidence contract

  1. 01Three classes that are never silently merged
  2. 02Acquisition, validity, retrieval and age
  3. 03Coverage and absence
  4. 04Scenarios and models
  5. 05Aircraft, identity and photographs
  6. 06Revision and reproducibility

Found a factual detail to correct? Include the page, the passage and a verifiable source.

Report a correction
GitHub · josedacosta

See the fire on the map

Satellite detections, water bombers, wind and spread, in a single view. No account, no key.

Simple mapLive firesAdvanced mapPropagation scenario

Wildfire maps by country

  • Türkiye
  • Spain
  • Italy
  • Portugal
  • Greece
  • France
  • Germany
  • Croatia
  • Austria
  • Cyprus
  • Switzerland
  • All areas
Fire Maps by José DA COSTAFIRE MAPSby José DA COSTA

Educational reference only. In a real incident, follow alerts and the responsible authorities.

HomeEncyclopediaAboutMethodologyEditorial policyPrivacyGlossarySite mapUpdatesAtom feedReport a correction
  • Design system
  • ·
  • What this project cost